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INTRODUCTION |
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You are an analyst helping your company prepare its purchase bid for the 30-year concession of a State- |
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owned infrastructure asset that has been put up for sale. You have been provided the outline of a |
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financing model which includes 10 scenarios of Inputs, and 10 scenarios of Operating Cash Flow taken |
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from a colleague’s forecast operations model. |
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For each of the Input scenarios, most assumption values have been provided, but one or two from each |
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scenario will need to be solved for to find the optimal value, subject to the other values provided. |
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The values that may need to be solved for are: |
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• First Debt Repayment Date |
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• Sculpted DSCR |
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• Debt Drawdown amount |
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• Equity Investment amount |
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• Required Rate of Return (also known as the Equity IRR) |
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Your task will be to build the necessary additions to the model so that it can identify the Optimal missing |
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values for the selected scenario. |
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For the 1st and 2nd dot point items, Optimal values are defined as: |
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i) If solving for First repayment date, the latest possible date; or |
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ii) If solving for the Sculpted DSCR, the largest possible DSCR |
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That still allows the debt to be repaid by the Latest allowed Debt Maturity Date, without the DSCR ever |
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falling below the Sculpted DSCR value in any given quarter. |
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For the 3rd, 4th and 5th dot point items, Optimal values are defined as: |
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i) If not provided with the Required Rate of Return, the values that maximise the Equity IRR, which |
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will then become the Required Rate of Return |
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ii) If provided with the Required Rate of Return, the values that maximise the Purchase Price whilst |
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ensuring that the Equity IRR is not less than the Required Rate of Return. |
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Build your model adhering to the included Details, and then answer the Questions. |
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Further conditions (“Requirements of a Solved Model”) are listed at the bottom of the Inputs worksheet. |
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QUESTION SUMMARY |
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Questions 1 to 20 are based on the provided input scenarios. |
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Questions 21 to 23 may require you to change some of the existing user-variable input values from certain |
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scenarios in order to answer. |
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Precision of Answers: |
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If submitting a dollar value, give your answer rounded to the nearest thousand dollar |
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(i.e. 0 decimal places when working in units of [$’000] ). There is no need to write “k” or “,000” at the end. |
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If submitting a DSCR value, give your answer to 3 decimal places |
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If submitting a percentage rate, give your answer as a percentage to 3 decimal places (e.g. 11.543%) |
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If submitting a date, give your answer rounded to the nearest day. (That’s a joke…) |
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DETAILS |
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1. Purchase Date Cash Flows |
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On the Purchase Date, the debt facility is drawn with a single drawdown and a single equity |
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investment is made (there are no other equity investments at any time). The sum of these two |
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amounts equals the Purchase Price which immediately goes to the State. In other words, net cash |
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flow for the Purchase Date is zero. |
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2. Interest Calculations |
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Interest is calculated on the last day of each quarter as |
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(Opening Balance in Quarter) * (Rate % p.a.) * (Days in Qtr) / 365 |
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This applies to both the interest owed on the Debt, and the interest earned / (owed) on any positive / |
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(negative) cash account balance. |
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3. Refinancing Calculations |
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The debt is refinanced at three points throughout the term. The refinanced amount is the outstanding |
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debt balance immediately after principal repayment on the refinancing date. A fee is charged on the |
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refinanced amount, and this fee is capitalised into the debt balance. For clarity, there is no fee |
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payable on the fee itself. The fee is only charged on the old balance that is being refinanced. |
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4. Debt Interest Payments |
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Interest owed is always paid in full at the end of each quarter for the entire life of the debt facility. |
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5. Debt Principal Repayments |
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Debt is repaid on the last day of each quarter, commencing on the First Debt Repayment Date, |
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continuing every quarter until the facility is fully repaid. All debt must be paid off on or before the |
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Latest Allowed Debt Maturity Date. The amount of each repayment must be sculpted so that the |
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DSCR is constant for all quarters during the repayment term. The only exception to this is the final |
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repayment quarter, which can have a higher DSCR. The repayment amount in any quarter cannot |
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exceed the quarterly opening balance of the facility. Redraws are not permitted. |
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6. DSCR |
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The DSCR is defined only for quarters where the principal repayment amount is not zero. It is equal |
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each quarter to the quarterly value of CFADS / (Net Interest Expense + Principal Repayments) |
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7. CFADS |
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CFADS (Cash Flow Available for Debt Service) is provided by the ‘Operations’ worksheet for each |
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quarter. For clarity, the definition of CFADS does not include any carryover opening balance. |
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Hint: Assumptions have been set so that CFADS will be relatively smooth and healthy, and will |
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always be at least as large as Net Interest Expense * Sculpted DSCR |
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8. Net Interest Expense |
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Defined as: For each quarter, interest owed on Debt plus interest owed on cash account overdraft |
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balance (if any) less interest earned on cash account positive balance (if any). |
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9. Cash Flow Waterfall |
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The Cash Flow Waterfall should include only the following items: |
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(1) CFADS; (2) Interest Revenue/(Overdraft Expense) on Cash Balance; (3) Interest Expense |
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on Debt; (4) Principal Repayments; (5) Equity Distributions |
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All cashflows are assumed to occur on the final day of each quarter. |
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10. Equity Distributions |
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Distributions occur on the last day of each quarter every June during the Asset life, and at the Asset |
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Expiration Date. All available cash (including the carry over opening balance) is distributed each |
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distribution date, so long as the cash balance is positive immediately prior to distributions. |
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11. Equity IRR |
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The Equity IRR should be calculated using the XIRR function, and consider the cashflows to/from |
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equity between the Purchase Date and the Asset Expiration Date inclusive. |
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